I'm betting on a $50 price cut on PS3s in late summer. It will be a response to MS based on what happens at E3 when all the details of bundling and whatnot are revealed for Natal.

By then the cost of manufacturing the new hardware version will have been reduced from PS3s already profitable levels currently and Sony will be able to stay profitable while ensuring a lower price to continue capturing market share from 360.

Sony's only goal currently is to not let MS finish this gen in 2nd place. At the mass market price it will pass 360.

LOL are you serious? really. You actually think when Sony says 'sold' they don't mean '.. to retailers." i.e. same thing as 'shipped'.

For software it doesn't mean much yet and it's only one month and we all know how crazy packed Q1 2010 was.
But still if you compare April 2010 to April 2009, SW sales on the PS3 are up 130% for that month..

7 million units compared to 3.25 million units based on VGChartz , that is a good start...............

I'm pretty sure that 2008 estimate was adjusted down in order to be met, though.  They always meet their final estimations, or close to it.  Its just the initial estimates are usually adjusted down.  Sony has a nack for overestimating the demand of a product.  The figured the PSP Go would be a rocket success but ended up adjusting PSP estimates DOWN 5 million!  I expect they are overestimating the affect of PS Move this time.  They seem pretty confident that the Wii crowd is just going to jump right onboard which I doubt will happen much if at all.

Am I reading that table wrong or is there still one more quarter for the 360 in 2010? If so, then that means this might be the 360 best year ever.

Also a U$200 PS3 will ship more than 15 million units, maybe U$249.

One out of three doesn't sound too good.

No, he's forcing the FY to end in March. That's why each FY has a '3' in it.

EDIT: Actually, you could be right as he does mention seperately that MS ends in June.

Another reason why I think they do much better in SW shipment in 2011 than in 2010 is the following.

Here is the comparison quarter by quarter of software shipped between 2009 and 2010( fiscal years) :

2009 :

2010 :

As you can see the reason 2009 SW was relatively low was Q1 which was a lot weaker than the previous year.

However since then, as HW shipment increased, so did SW shipments and there's no real reason for the tendency to suddenly reverse.

As it stands I think with what data we have it's reasonable to expect SW shipment for Q1 2011 to be around 20-22 millions, a reasonable increase over the poor first quarter of last year........

Well, a mass jump is definitely out of question. But even in the worst case, Move and Natal will widen PS3 and XB360 appeal at least just a little bit.

No, I normalized the X360 data to end in March - I'm just saying technically it isn't a fiscal year for Microsoft.

Ail check out the Dec 09 vs. Dec 08 comparison though, because thats where 45%-50% of the sw will be sold this year - 47m vs. 41m I think, even with the base bigger and hw shipments in that quarter up by 2m.

We'll probably have something like this for PS3 sw:

Q1    Q2       Q3      Q4  (Q3 = Oct-Dec 10')

22m / 20m / 53m / 25m

That is pretty good, but it won't be up a whole lot from last year.