Sorry to burst you bubble but like I said before it's more like 11 million. Although if they do meet their projections there's definitely going to need to be adjustments. Maybe they needed a lot of units to ship for the Vietnamese and Philippine launches.

Drop PS2 support this year, and with GT5 15mil will happen. There are many people who never moved on from GT4... and are still waiting on GT5 for the upgrade. I myself have at least 3 friends in this position. 

13m is pretty damned impressive, good job PS3.

now, what about FY 2011?

any predicitons? if Gran Turismo 5 finally arrives, I think it can surpass 13m

Carl2291 said: I wonder what they will report shipped numbers as... Will definately be over 13 Million. But where over 13 Million? And i hope they project something crazy like 15 Million PS3's for 2010

It could be 16 or even 17.  There still seems to be something hinkey about the way Sony counts shipped.  It may include replacement consoles or something.  It's really unsure, but it became obvious something was up after like January or whatever where Ioi actually had to start a thread to get people to shut up about it.

Edit: Oh you mean next FY and not what they announce is the final shipped number this year.

2.3 million in the supply chain on 31 March 2009? That sounds a tad high, given a lot of people on this site were howling that there was apparently 2 million in the supply chain in mid-Jan this year, but that it could not possibly be and there were numerous calls for upward adjustment.

AFAIK there are only supply problems in the USA / Americas. I'm not aware of any major supply shortages anywhere else, and obviously there aren't any supply problems in Japan. It's conceivable for there to be close to 2 million in the supply chain. If Sony are going to report less than 13 million for FY 2010 then it'll still be north of 12.5 million. If Sony projected 13 million shipped it means their factory capacity was for at least 13 million to come off the production line. Any true shortages should mean their production capacity failed to meet demand, which means demand should have exceeded the 13 million they were geared up to meet.

it depends more on pricecut than GT5, i think

The next FY will have GT5 and Move.

I'm thinking they could hit 15 million in FY 2011.

People are really projecting 15m next fiscal year? I mean, it's going to be way up in Q1 obviously, but Q2 will be way down guaranteed (versus slim launch), and Q3/4 may be flat or down too without another price cut and (arguably) weaker software lineup. We'll know better after E3 what the rest of the year looks like, but people should be wary of expecting YOY gains to just continue on as is...

15 million is possible. Although alot of that will depend on how successful Move really is.

The future Kevin Butler says that it's a tremendous hit.

Well, I don't think 15m is impossible exactly... but it seems really optimistic I think.  Honestly, just remaining flat YOY would be a victory imo.