if it's against the 360 version only, then it's very possible.
Also ME2 came out simultaneously on 360 and PC... which was not the case for 1 if I recall.... sales so far are dropping much faster.
Sales
0.03m
Japan
1.48m
Americas
0.66m
Others
2.17m
Total
1 17,469 258,341 118,947 394,757
2 3,755 199,026 68,499 271,280
3 1,954 104,080 38,325 144,359
4 1,097 97,160 38,674 136,931
5 833 117,758 45,638 164,229
6 666 57,957 33,672 92,295
7 570 36,566 18,800 55,936
8 437 27,073 10,341 37,851
9 388 21,787 13,537 35,712
10 335 24,026 11,186 35,547
against
Sales
0.00m
Japan
1.18m
Americas
0.43m
Others
1.61m
Total
1 n/a 726,800 234,490 961,290
2 n/a 178,737 89,340 268,077
3 n/a 109,638 42,210 151,848
4 n/a 61,625 22,266 83,891
5 n/a 36,784 18,372 55,156
6 n/a 28,574 9,291 37,865
7 n/a 20,047 6,494 26,541
8 n/a 14,487 6,140 20,627
It is clear that ME 2 in it's current form will not greatly over shadow ME1 on 360
Also, the witcher 2 is expected to beat it's father in sales... afterall now the dev has a record.
i'll vote yes just because it's possible... though when all is said and done the witcher is not sure to pass 2M.