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Forums - Sales Discussion - Is It Possible 4 The PS3 To Sell 100M B4 It's Off The Market?... I Think So - UPDATE 85 Millionz Reached

 

Will The PS3 Sell 100M Before Its off The Market?

no Wii will always be ahead 56 38.89%
 
iz possible 46 31.94%
 
yes number 1 console of 7th gen 39 27.08%
 
Total:141
John_Doe on 28 February 2010
TheSource said:

I don't think it will get to 100m. PS3 hardware should peak this year, or from mid 2010 to mid 2011 if it hasn't already. Software is definitely near its peak unless Arc throws a wrench in the pattern, that is for sure. Here is a visual/chart-astic look at software shipments by year in millions worldwide (Jan-Dec to match up with real years).

2010 is a better lineup than 2009, but probably not enough to push PS3 software massively higher than 2009. You can see below that the PS3 audience, as it broadens to less dedicated gamers is also less satisfied with software (as is the case with every system ever released). With the amount of software PS3 is pushing/getting at the moment price drops will not push hardware levels much higher than they are. There should be a slow decline from the 2010/2011 peak, but no console that was an established brand (i.e. NES & PS1 are exceptions) has ever tripled its lifetime total from its fourth Christmas to its final figures. PS2 essentially doubled its total from the fourth Christmas to lifetime.  Moreover, PS3 is behind PS1 in Japan and the Americas in sellthrough at comparable time frames, and it isn't like Sony is going to be cutting off another $300 on the PS3 price in the next three years. So 65m-75m is about right for PS3, with ~650m-700m retail game shipments. Both figures are about half the PS2 level.

PS3 SW Mar Q Jun Q Sept Q Dec Q SWY/LTDHW
2006


5.2 3.06
2007 8.1 4.7 10.4 26 4.72
2008 16.8 22.8 21.2 40.8 4.81
2009 18.9 14.8 23.9 47.6

3.14

 

Thanks!!!

 

which is your prediction for 360?



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Slimebeast on 15 March 2010

It will come very close. About 90 million I feel.

X350 rufly 75 mill, maybe 80.



Hus on 15 March 2010
Smashchu2 said:

A few things I do want to point out

  • The PS3 is driven by price cuts, not by software sales.
  • Software sales have been pretty bad. The best selling PS3 game was MGS4 at ~4 million. The 360 has Halo 3 at ~10 million and the Wii has multiple titles over 10 million. The PS3 has no killer app, and it doesn't look to get one ever.
  • The latest figure have Sony losing $18 on each PS3 sold. If it was at least $18 thoughout the system's lifecycle, it would have lost $583,560,000. Now, while not exact, this is still a lot of money to lose in 3 to 4 years. And this is just on a videogame console.
  • Software is lacking on both the PS3 and the 360. Titles like Bayonette, Dante's Inferno and Dark Void have done poorly and a lot of the titles coming up (save FF13) have little potential to push the system or even make good sales numbers.

Unless Arc takes off (which is doubtful) the PS3 is pretty much over. There is no way the company can recoupe their loses on the system and it has little room for growth. All sales boost for the system are temporary and there isn't much hope of getting it to go anywhere. I doubt the PS3 will stay on the shelves for 10 years.

LMFAO That is honestly one of the worst most ignorant post i have ever read on here, ever.

- So what IF its driven only by pice cuts, it still cost freaking 299.  Thers plenty price cuts to be made to increase sales. 

- Software pretty bad based on what ??? PS3 software sales are in line with what they sold on PS2.
Its called Gran Turismo, a game bigger then Halo World Wide.  A World Wide killer app MS can only wish upon a star for.

- pointless point, they have lost more before.  Might be losing less now if anything at all given the newer PS# slims.

- What about Battlefield, Heavy Rain Mass Effect ohh and a small game called God of War3.  Um GT5, software and hardware seller that the comp wish they had. 

Now the last paragraph is truely the worst post i can remember ever reading on here.



Bladeforce on 19 March 2010

i think once both microsoft and nintendo release new consoles then sales of the PS3 will drop off dramatically. I feel it will struggle to reach 70 mill



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Jay520 on 21 March 2010

-It sold 33m in about 3.3 years. That's 10m a year so far. that's pretty good considering: 

   1.) the price just hit 299$ last august,                                                                                                                                                                   

   2.) It came on the market a year after its HD competitor with little to no (good) games at a very high price.  

-If sony fulfills their promise the Ps3 stays on the market 10 years, it will sell 100m. That's assuming it sells at the same rate since it's been out at 10m a year.

-But will it sell at the same rate it has since it's been out. I think it will because:

   1.) These next 6.7 years should have much better games than the ones already released.   

   2.) These next 6.7 years will have the ps3 at a price range from 299$ and lower, as oppsosed to the first 3.3 years being at 299$ to like          500$( not sure of the actual starting price).            

   3.) Game devolopers are just now reaching the full capability of the system. 

That's all assuming that Sony keeps the Ps3 out for 10 years. Who knows what the future has in store for the Ps3, or what sony has up their sleeves, or what Arc/Natal will do, or if the world will end in 2012. I won't be surprised if it sold 100m copies. I predict somewhere between 90m and 110m. 

                                                             



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Jay520 on 21 March 2010

-It sold 33m in about 3.3 years. That's 10m a year so far. that's pretty good considering:

1.) the price just hit 299$ last august,

2.) It came on the market a year after its HD competitor with little to no (good) games at a very high price.

- If sony fulfills their promise the Ps3 stays on the market 10 years, it will sell 100m. That's assuming it sells at the same rate since it's been out at 10m a year.

-But will it sell at the same rate it has since it's been out? I think it will because:

1.) These next 6.7 years should have much better games than the ones already released.

2.) These next 6.7 years will have the ps3 at a price range from 299$ and lower, as oppsosed to the first 3.3 years being at 299$ to like 500$( not sure of the actual starting price).

3.) Game devolopers are just now reaching the full capability of the system.

That's all assuming that Sony keeps the Ps3 out for 10 years. Who knows what the future has in store for the Ps3, or what sony has up their sleeves, or what Arc/Natal will do, or if the world will end in 2012. I won't be surprised if it sold 100m copies. I predict somewhere between 90m and 110m.



Serious_frusting on 18 July 2010

i will be shocked if it didnt



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MrT-Tar on 18 July 2010

70 million MAX

the next gen is starting in next year and the PS3 doesn't have the 'casual userbase' it's predecessors had




MrT-Tar on 18 July 2010
The Ghost of RubangB said:
Going by the sales numbers in the OP...

PS3's 1st year was 17.9% of the PS2's 1st year.
PS3's 2nd year was 43.8% of the PS2's 2nd year.
PS3's 3rd year was 42.9% of the PS2's 3rd year.
PS3's 4th year was 63.2% of the PS2's 4th year.

Yet some people expect that after 10 years, PS3 will have sold 71.4% as much as the PS2?

It would need to start selling at PS2 levels or DS levels for a while to catch up to where you guys think it can go. It's just not going to happen.

Wow, that really put its all in perspective




nostromos on 18 July 2010

you know 49% of the ps2's sales were when it was under 200$ the ps3 hasnt reached that margin yet, that's why i think it's possible, epacially if this gen lasts 10 years(im talking home consoles of course)