I think the WIi will dominate almost as much as the ps2 in terms of hardware sales, however, because of the amount of "non-gamers" buying the system, it will be much closer to the 360/ps3 in terms of software sales, and thus reasons for 3rd parties to support the system.

I think it depends on what you define as winning as well. I think Nintendo has already won the war of profits. Nintendo is already billions ahead of both companies with a lead that grows more every day it sells without price cuts. Even if Nintendo stopped selling tomorrow, it would be years before the other companies caught up if ever  this generation.

You think Nintendo has already won the war of profits?

Shit, they could offer free blowjobs and full refunds to half the people who have purchased Wiis to this point and still turn a bigger profit this generation than either MS or Sony will.

If it does end anywhere near 1/3rd of the market for each console I would say Nintendo have the most reason to celebrate followed by Microsoft.

Nintendo is on a roll, but don't discount the long-term profitability of Sony. Their strategy means they take a hit on early hardware, and then make a mint on all those HDTVs, accessories, online MMOs, and BluRay titles. They'll end up making about as much as Nintendo, just over a bunch of different product lines.

That's certainly the plan, but the real world results have not been demonstrated. Sony as a long term investment has been pretty bad. It's underperformed the market over the past few years. If you take away digital cameras, which have nothing to do with gaming at all, Sony is doing quite poorly. 

Of course they would say this. Perhaps it's because they don't want people, to see the console that they don't support, as the "clear winner". It makes sense.

Or maybe they actually don't think there's a clear winner.

PES sold fantastic on PS2, PS3, X360, and bombed on Wii. Konami cares about that, right?

PowerPro Baseball also sells vastly better on PS2 than Wii, despite the PS2 being a poddering old system vs. a new, great-selling Wii system.

Likewise, DDR has sold fairly well on the Wii, and Konami is probably happy with that.

So in Konami's eyes, they've had mixed succuesses on every platform. If Wii owners don't care about sports games (which to this point, they haven't aside from Wii Sports and Tiger Woods), how exactly would they dominate the huge chunk of revenue that's from their sports titles if Wii owners don't really give a crap? (look at Winning Eleven DS for further proof).