The Wii will outsell the PS2. It's only a matter of time.

Definitely if there's no Wii 2 until 2012 it has a much better chance of outselling the PS2.

Nope. It's going to generate 10x more money... but it won't outsell the PS2. Just the PSone.

But the DS of course will.

yes it will. Anybody that saids other wise,is only fooling themselves. I'm guessing it will happen in 2 1/2 yrs.

It's a big fat "maybe". It's significantly outperforming PS2 and will undoubtedly continue to do so, but at the same time Nintendo's never been that great with post successor platform support even for their successful systems (see: GBA). I could really see it stalling around 120-130m OR cruising to 150-160m depending on how it's handled.

Yes, right before the next Nintendo console launches.

It'd be hard, the PS2 is a moving target after all. The Wii would probably have to sell about 90M more consoles which would bring its LTD up to 157M over the next few years. It really depends on whether Nintendo keeps the old Wii on the market. They may very well release a more profitable Wii successor and decide that keeping a less profitable Wii on the market is less beneficial than going for a completely new device.

Eh, who's numbers are you using?

If it's VGC, I don't see the PS2 reaching even 145mil. It dropped massively in 2009, and if this continues for 2010 (it's down about 50% YoY so far) another 10 million will take a very long time, if at all.

I think its really just a matter of 'when.'

I dont think so, its about halfway there in 4 years, and while the buzz is still strong, I cant see it selling equal amounts in the next 4. I expect the next gen systems to release before the next 4 years have passed. WIth Natal and Arc, PS3/360 owners will at least have a "good enough" reason to keep from adding a Wii to their collection. I don't think there's as many coconuts to shake out of the tree as there were for the past 4 years.