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Forums - Sales - Will the PS3 be able to outsell the Wii in Japan any week this year?

 

Will the PS3 be able to outsell the Wii in Japan any week this year?

Yes, in more weeks than last year. 706 54.43%
 
Yes, same amount of weeks than last year. 76 5.86%
 
Yes, but less weeks than last year. 161 12.41%
 
Yes, only once. 29 2.24%
 
No, lol? 137 10.56%
 
I like turtles. 188 14.49%
 
Total:1,297
ProdigyBam on 22 February 2010

^
The Wii doesnt come with Wii Sports in japan.



Fedor Emelianenko - Greatest Fighter and most humble man to ever walk the earth:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lVVrNOQtlzY

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Demotruk on 22 February 2010
ProdigyBam said:
Yea, you know theres a thing called "edit"
use it :/

@ Topic:
It will beat the wii at the end of march and will probably outsell it for a few months (except when big wii games are launching)
you can qoute me on this

reasons for that?
- NSMBWs impact will be lower over the coming weeks
- almost no new Wii games
- PS3 has some good games releasing (yakuza 4,SSF4,GoW3 and so on)

Will do.



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.

jarrod on 22 February 2010
trestres said:
Updated the OP, first 2 weeks went to the Wii. Added new games to the release list.

According to the Japanese preview, the release of the 250 GB PS3 SKU and the release of RE5: AE could put the PS3 over the Wii this week.

Doubt it.  Wii's trending a good ~10k ahead of PS3 at this point (VGC also has them closer than Enterbrain or Mediacreate btw), another higher priced SKU and a RE5 rerelease isn't going to be enough to push past that imo.

It won't happen until March imo, and then likely not until Yakuza 4 week.  I do think PS3 will take the last 2 weeks of March though (thanks to Yakuza 4 on the 18th and Hokuto Musou on the 25th).  Nintendo's schedule is *really* laughably awful too.   WTF Iwata, you talked about this very problem last year!?! :/



hduser on 22 February 2010
trestres said:
hduser said:
trestres said:
hduser said:
I doubt PS3 will beat Wii unless there's a sudden shortage of Wiis or every person in Japan has a Wii already. It's hard to compete against price and it's hard to capture the casual market the way the Wii already has.

And how did the PS3 manage to outsell the Wii during many weeks last year?

It's all about the SW, which the Wii will be lacking for a few months to come. HW doesn't sell on its own.

The FF13 did help the PS3 for a few weeks last year not to mention the PS3 price reduction and slim release.  But I don't see any games other than Yakuza 3 that would appeal to the Japanese.  The fact the the Wii comes with Wii sports solidfies the casual market for Nintendo.

Wii doesn't come with Wii Sports in Japan, and the PS3 outsold the Wii for many weeks even before the Slim was released. You probably are just guessing.

Well, you got me on the Wii sports in Japan.  I was wondering about that as I was typing it but I was too lazy to look it up.

But back to the OP on whether the PS3 will beat the Wii in any particular week this year.  Currently it seems that Wii is outselling the PS3 on a 3:2 margin.  I can see a few weeks that the PS3 will outsell the Wii(Yakuza 3 release) but for the most part I think the Wii will outsell PS3 90-95% of the time.



roccerfeller on 22 February 2010

I think it will happen throughout the year at various times, but I do not think it will happen nearly as much as last year.


PS3's largest Japanese release has already seen the light of the day. Most of the PS3's biggest franchises have already come out, and PS3 doesnt seem to have much for the Japanese market when compared to the Wii.

This is the Wii's truly first strong year all around, and I see it pulling through overall, with a much better performance than last year.

This is not a personal preference, but rather, in my eyes, realistic.

as far as its largest franchises related to Japan go, God of War III doesn't count. Western games are generally not popular in Japan, period. I don;t see GoW3 doing much better than Bayonetta to be honest.

It will have some strong releases throughout the year, such as a new Tales game (perhaps), Yakuza 4, etc...

But its largest franchise has already been released (FF13). People forget this, and it is very important.

So what does the PS3 have left for the Japanese market? I would have to say FFv13, FF14 Online both of which may not do as much as we think (although FFv13 has a solid shot at a Million). The other is Gran Turismo 5.

Everything else Sony has, is more targeted for the American market.



Wii on the other hand has more than just Monster Hunter 3 and NSMB Wii this year, as far as big releases go.

And, Wii has Dragon Quest 10 in the pipeline. It will not fall to last year's levels, and I think games such as Xenoblade and Last Story will have strong market pushes in Japan. (Esp. Last Story.)

Don't forget Super Mario Galaxy 2 and Zelda Wii. (Metroid i am not counting because its not popular in Japan). I think Nintendo will also have some surprise hits, and Vitality Sensor I feel will be just that.


I dont expect the Wii to drop, and overall I think it will outsell the PS3, at the very least, 3:2 by the end of the year.

That said, I do expect the PS3 to outsell the Wii at some points haha. Esp when GT5 is released.



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Demotruk on 22 February 2010

^ Metroid:OM actually seems to be a Japan-focussed Metroid game, an attempt to make Metroid popular there again.

I think it will fail though, personally...



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.

ProdigyBam on 22 February 2010

The PS3 has MGS: Rising, FF13 Versus, The Last Guardian, FF14 and Gran Turismo 5 left
all potential system sellers and that are only the ones that are announced
The Wii has DQ10, Zelda Wii and SMG2
I think they are both pretty equal



Fedor Emelianenko - Greatest Fighter and most humble man to ever walk the earth:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lVVrNOQtlzY

jarrod on 22 February 2010
ProdigyBam said:
The PS3 has MGS: Rising, FF13 Versus, The Last Guardian, FF14 and Gran Turismo 5 left
all potential system sellers and that are only the ones that are announced
The Wii has DQ10, Zelda Wii and SMG2
I think they are both pretty equal


No way, DQX alone will outsell ALL those PS3 games combined. FFXIV won't pass 250k, Last Guardian might not either.  Niether's even close to "big" in Japan.

For stuff you could reasonably call "big" (ie: possible 500k+ sellers)...

 

PlayStation 3

  • Final Fantasy versus XIII (Square Enix)
  • Gran Turismo 5: The Real Driving Simulator (SCEI / Polyphony Digital)
  • Metal Gear Solid: Rising (Konami / Kojima Productions)
  • Ryu ga Gotoku 4: Densetsu no Tsugumono (SEGA)
  • Shirokishi Monogatari II: Hikari to Yami no Kakusei (SCEI / Level-5)

Wii

  • Dragon Quest X (Square Enix / Armor Project / Level 5?) likely 3.5m+
  • Hoshi no Kirby (Nintendo / HAL Laboratory) likely 1m+
  • Inazuma Eleven Break! (Level-5)
  • Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo)
  • The Last Story (Nintendo / Mistwalker / Artoon)
  • Wii Relax (Nintendo) 
  • Zelda no Densetsu (Nintendo)


jarrod on 22 February 2010
roccerfeller said:
as far as its largest franchises related to Japan go, God of War III doesn't count. Western games are generally not popular in Japan, period. I don;t see GoW3 doing much better than Bayonetta to be honest.


It won't sell even half as well as Bayonetta. Hell, it won't even sell as well as Bayonetta 360. Enterbrain numbers...

  • God of War (PS2) 6,601 + 21,201 (Capcore) + 31,372 (BEST)
  • God of War II (PS2) 36,804
  • God of War: Chains of Olympus (PSP) 39,519


ProdigyBam on 22 February 2010

If UC2 managed to do over 100k then i dont see how GoW3 shouldnt be able to do so as well



Fedor Emelianenko - Greatest Fighter and most humble man to ever walk the earth:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lVVrNOQtlzY