I think it will happen throughout the year at various times, but I do not think it will happen nearly as much as last year.
PS3's largest Japanese release has already seen the light of the day. Most of the PS3's biggest franchises have already come out, and PS3 doesnt seem to have much for the Japanese market when compared to the Wii.
This is the Wii's truly first strong year all around, and I see it pulling through overall, with a much better performance than last year.
This is not a personal preference, but rather, in my eyes, realistic.
as far as its largest franchises related to Japan go, God of War III doesn't count. Western games are generally not popular in Japan, period. I don;t see GoW3 doing much better than Bayonetta to be honest.
It will have some strong releases throughout the year, such as a new Tales game (perhaps), Yakuza 4, etc...
But its largest franchise has already been released (FF13). People forget this, and it is very important.
So what does the PS3 have left for the Japanese market? I would have to say FFv13, FF14 Online both of which may not do as much as we think (although FFv13 has a solid shot at a Million). The other is Gran Turismo 5.
Everything else Sony has, is more targeted for the American market.
Wii on the other hand has more than just Monster Hunter 3 and NSMB Wii this year, as far as big releases go.
And, Wii has Dragon Quest 10 in the pipeline. It will not fall to last year's levels, and I think games such as Xenoblade and Last Story will have strong market pushes in Japan. (Esp. Last Story.)
Don't forget Super Mario Galaxy 2 and Zelda Wii. (Metroid i am not counting because its not popular in Japan). I think Nintendo will also have some surprise hits, and Vitality Sensor I feel will be just that.
I dont expect the Wii to drop, and overall I think it will outsell the PS3, at the very least, 3:2 by the end of the year.
That said, I do expect the PS3 to outsell the Wii at some points haha. Esp when GT5 is released.







