Well, this is it. The business end of the year. There are now 10 weeks left until the end of '07. I want to see some juicy predictions for consoles/handhelds - whatever you want really. I'll post some initial stats and thoughts.
Current/base sales:
- Wii: 12.5m
- 360: 11.9m
- PS3: 5.1m
- DS: 52.1m
- PSP: 24.75m
(note - it looks like there is one more week of data missing, the most recent - so there may be 11 weeks of data to come b4 the end of the year)
Recent WW sales figures:
Week ending - 14th OctoberConsole | Weekly | Total |
---|---|---|
347,662 | 51,913,199 | |
207,525 | 24,693,908 | |
183,536 | 12,416,590 | |
172,551 | 11,838,379 | |
115,953 | 5,063,822 |
Week ending - 7th Ocotber:
Console | Weekly | Total |
---|---|---|
377,707 | 51,565,537 | |
241,962 | 24,486,383 | |
188,299 | 11,665,828 | |
180,949 | 12,233,054 | |
72,317 | 4,947,869 |
...
A straight extrapolation (x10) averaged on both these weeks gives us:
- DS: 3.6m
- PSP: 2.2m
- Wii: 1.81m
- 360: 1.8m
- PS3: 900k
(sales for remaining part of year)
...
This obviously doesn't take into account Xmas, nor extra Wii shipments, 360 sales/price fade, PS3 recent price cuts, new titles and more.
I'll give some quick predictions for Wii sales figures - someone else might like to do other consoles:
Week#1: 190k (week starting October 23rd)
Week#2: 300k (Galaxy in Japan)
Week#3: 250k
Week#4: 350k (Galaxy in US, 12th-19th November)
Week#5: 600k (Thanksgivin, big releases, Europe Galaxy?)
Week#6: 500k (26th Nov - 2nd Dec)
Week#7: 550k (3rd Dec - 9th Dec)
Week#8: 650k (10th Dec - 16nd Dec)
Week#9: 800k (17th Dec - 23nd Dec)
Week#10: 1.1m (24th Dec - 30nd Dec)
Total: 5,290k (5.3m)
Current figure: 12.5m + 5.3m --> 17.8m (end '07).
(note that if the week including Dec 31st is also included - that will sell another 600k, maybe 800k units - taking the overall figure to 18.6 -> 19.0m. Would be included in the NPD figure, so its probably fair to include it? Making it the 11th week, again excluding sales from this current week).
or 18.6m ('end of 07, if including week that runs into '08 is included)
Gesta Non Verba
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