Strategy Analytics... the ones who expect the PS3 to outsell the Wii by 24 million units (127mil > 103mil), right?

Just clarifying.

Oh, Q1 2010....

Hmm, well they could have a slightly different meaning about Q1 2010 than us, but most likely I should have posted this picture rather than the one above.

Either way VGC has PS3 ~31% for Q1 too.

Well done Sony.

great news for sony!

yea i don't see that either. but based on Ps3 possibly being on the market longer. well i'l put it like this. if they discontinue wii in 2012 or 2014

, ps3 has the potintial to pass wii in total sells by 2016. and thats only if PS3 grows by 2m 2011 and 2012 or does something i have no analysis for. i did a mock up of this for somebody once. now heres my analysis. im not saying it's possible or will or won't happen, but here goes:

analysis for 2016

PS3 124m

Wii 120m

hey! not bad!

Wii 120 million seems a good low end estimate, the PS3 won't make 100 million though.

Also I think the strategy analytics "prediction" had a time limit of the end of 2012 too... that's 2.5 years from now... and is about 3.5 years from when they made the prediction.

meh misleading site! lol (the strategy thingy site :P)

Heh.

Now:

Wii - 71M
PS3 - 35M

(and then a miracle happens)

2016:

Wii - 120M
PS3 - 124M

That's pretty much the only breakdown that makes sense. That, or all the factories making the Wii burn down at the same time, and even then, by the time they rebuild, the Wii will still be in front.