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it will depend a lot on how good the wii sells. if it sells much more than 50% then it will be hard for any of the hd consoles to reach or stay above 25% market share. with the increasing shipments of the wii coming now i think it will be very hard for ps3 to further increase market share percentage, and xbox market share might start dropping fater than it does now. (but it all depends on how many consoles nintendo really can sell per month with increased production)