The problem I am seeing with a lot of the math here is that people are doubling the current "in the pipe" numbers when I am not sure that they should be doing so. Currently predictions set them around 3.6-3.7 million in sales with about 1.8 to 1.9 million "in the pipe" (ie warehouses, retailers, etc). They have no reason to double the number "in the pipe" since it is just their padding essentially. They will refill it as it is needed no doubt but this number exists for the purpose of limiting losses if they can't sell units for whatever reason.
Obviously I have no clue if this is 100% true, since Sony could very well decide to take the risk, but they would be doing so just to make headlines so I doubt it. Now, if they don't plan to increase this padding window it would mean that they would need global sales around 9.1 to 9.2 million by the end of the fiscal year to achieve their stated goal. Which of course means they need to sell 5.5 million units between then and now.
Out of the question? No not really, assuming they can get the PR ball rolling and get back into the swing of things a solid X-Mas could send them nearly half way to their goal. But I still think that a lot of things need to go right for them here in the next month for them to have the kind of X-mas they need to make it happen.
In closing, I seriously doubt they would make the claim without a plan of action to make it happen. I look forward to seeing what they have in mind =)
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