Square-Enix using Nintendo to pay for Final Fantasy 13 etc?

[Oyvoyvoyv]

Impulsivity said:

Oyvoyvoyv said:

CrazzyMan said:
FFXIII will sell over 10 mln. and will be BEST selling FF game for now... =)

 

 Let me see if I understand you correctly.

You expect the following.

- Final Fantasy XIII will sell 10M. That is to be the best selling FF ever.

You expect this even though

- Final Fantasy XIII is on the console that is likely to be the second worst (perhaps worst) selling console a main FF has ever been on.

- Final Fantasy XIII is on a console that is strongest in the region Final Fantasy is weakest in.

 

     First off Final Fantasy sales are BEST when its the first FF on a new console.  FFX, which was released BEFORE there was a large install base for the PS2, is the best selling FF game of all time.  Before that FFVII was handily the best selling one.  It's not a stretch to think that FFXIII will be the new best seller.  I think there's a REALLY good chance it will be bundled in Japan as well just like the FFVII PSP game was.  I am 99.9% sure that within a few weeks of FFXIII's release, if its good, Square could move over a million console/game bundles in Japan alone.  In 2001, not long after the PS2's initial release, FFX moved over 2 million copies in a few days in Japan alone.  Given that metal Gear Solid 4, which is not nearly as popular a series in FF in Japan did very well, Final Fantasy XIII has a very good shot at hitting nearly 10 million worldwide and becoming the best selling RPG/FF game ever.  The only thing I think is likely to stop that is it being somehow a huge stinker like FFIX was, but I doubt that will be the case.

 

   They just need to get the damn thing out, preferably before December.

 

 

- MGS 4 may have done really well in Japan, but it still sold less than 1/4 than FFX did in Japan. This does by no means tell us that FFXIII will do as well as FFX.

- The installbase in Japan is likely to be maximum 3 times the sales of FFX in Japan. Thinking that it will make 33% is stretching it. Combine that with the fact that the Ps3 isn't likely to make 10M there, and you can see that it will probably not sell close to 3M there, which FFX did.

- FFX is not the best selling FF. FFVII sold almost 25% more than FFX. If the trend follows, it would mean 6M for FFXIII, not 10M, as you say. It will probably beat 6M though.

- FFX launched on an installbase of 8M in America, 7.1M in Japan, and 8.1M in Others. You are correct in your assumption that the FFXIII launch will be fairly equal to this. It will be lower in Japan, higher in Others, and equal in America.

- The game will probably not be out for half a year. But your assumption that the sooner it's out, the more sales, is wrong.