October 2026 VGChartz Estimates Thread

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Japan estimates for September 2026

Link to the VGChartz article here.

Switch 2 Best-Seller, PS5 and XS Up YoY - Japan Hardware Estimates for October 2026

The Nintendo Switch 2 was the best-selling console in Japan with 140,519 units sold for October 2026, according to VGChartz estimates. The Nintendo Switch 2 has now sold an estimated 6.71 million units lifetime.

The PlayStation 5 sold an estimated 54,958 units to bring its lifetime sales to 7.80 million units. The Nintendo Switch 1 sold an estimated 22,162 units to bring its lifetime sales to 37.10 million units. The Xbox Series X|S sold 2,007 units to bring their lifetime sales to 0.71 million units.

Switch 2 sales compared to the same month for the Switch 1 in 2018 are down by nearly 34,000 units as the Switch 1 sold 174,298 units in Japan in October 2018.

PS5 sales compared to the same month for the PS4 in 2019 are up by nearly 22,000 units, while the Xbox Series X|S compared to the same month for the Xbox One are up by nearly 2,000 units. PS4 sold 33,229 units for the month of October 2019 and Xbox One sales were at 380 units.

Nintendo Switch 2 sales compared to the same month a year ago are down by 273,380 units (-66.1%). Nintendo Switch 1 sales are down by 76,582 units (-77.6%), PlayStation 5 sales are up by 9,984 (22.2%), and Xbox Series X|S sales are up by 265 units (15.2%).

Looking at sales month-on-month, Nintendo Switch 2 sales are down by nearly 11,000 units, PlayStation 5 sales are up by over 9,000 units, Nintendo Switch 1 sales are down by nearly 18,000 units, and Xbox Series X|S sales are up by nearly 500 units.

2026 year-to-date, the Nintendo Switch 2 has sold an estimated 2.60 million units, the Nintendo Switch 1 has sold 0.60 million units, the PlayStation 5 has sold 0.47 million units, and the Xbox Series X|S has sold 0.02 million units.

Monthly Sales:

Japan hardware estimates for October 2026 (Followed by lifetime sales):

1. Switch 2 - 140,519 (6,708,199)
2. PlayStation 5 - 54,958 (7,804,718)
3. Switch 1 - 22,162 (37,103,466)
4. Xbox Series X|S - 2,007 (709,884)

Weekly Sales:

Japan October 10, 2026 hardware estimates:

1. Switch 2 - 23,817
2. PlayStation 5 - 11,942
3. Switch 1 - 5,979
4. Xbox Series X|S - 293

Japan October 17, 2026 hardware estimates:

1. Switch 2 - 22,906
2. PlayStation 5 - 10,704
3. Switch 1 - 5,041
4. Xbox Series X|S - 232

Japan October 24, 2026 hardware estimates:

1. Switch 2 - 22,714
2. PlayStation 5 - 16,049
3. Switch 1 - 5,053
4. Xbox Series X|S - 585

Japan October 31, 2026 hardware estimates:

1. Switch 2 - 71,082
2. PlayStation 5 - 16,263
3. Switch 1 - 6,089
4. Xbox Series X|S - 897