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| firebush03 said: Anybody have data on how this election compares to U.S. elections in recent history? This felt like a historic whooping, dang. Florida and Alabama almost went blue, Texas and Georgia saw double-digit blue results, etc. |
It is hard to say without seeing the lasting impact. The final numbers are going to be roughly 2008-like (upper-50's Dem senate; >250 HoR) but then all of those gains were washed out in the 2010 Tea Party wave.
Alternatively, if nothing fundamentally changes and things get worse, we can see an even more devastating election for Republicans in 2028.
We could be entering a new party system, especially if we enter a recession, that brings us into a period of multi-decade majority/minority party status. Akin to the GOP after the Civil War, and the Democratic Party after the Great Depression. Those periods were essentially 1.5 party systems. Where the minor party was a moderate version of the major party.
We'll see if the GOP moderates. That is the only way it probably survives the political death of its Dear Leader.
