The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch (EDIT: See mod note in first post for new rule).

[tak13]

XtremeBG said:

firebush03 said:

Dang, I didn’t realize Switch was already at 156.69M shipped. With Tomodachi and RH likely giving the system enough of a boost to cruise through 157.00M by Sept 30th, and EU stock clearance in preparation for the Spring discontinuation, the system should be comfortably be in 158.00M territory entering CY’27. All that’d be left is 2M… can the Switch 1 pull it off?

Famitsu data suggests Switch 1 may have 0.5-1.0M from JP left in the tank, and EU has at most 100k post-2026, so all eyes are on NA (alongside some niche markets like China and India). From what I’m seeing regarding quarterly data, it looks like NA has been outperforming JP. It’ll be razor thin, but I might honestly be back on the “It’s gonna happen.” side.

Yea it should be at 157M shipped as of September 30th. Although with the decline in shipments over the last 2 years, 1M in the holiday is a little bit optimistic, given how much of a drop was the previous quarters to those from the FY before that. Europe will boost it a little but still. Last holiday quarter was 1.36M, this I would say may be around 800k, but yeah it should be anywhere around 158M shipped by end of the calendar year. I am again uploading the quarters table here, just for comparison sake for both DS and the Switch, so that both previous quarters and drops from them can be seen, and also how the DS went in it's last couple of quarters.

Last quarter sales based on vgc where 598k and shipments where 670k, in current quarter sales are on track to be nearly 450k.

How much should we expect shipments to be for the past quart in your opinion?