| Norion said: I said before the question now is if it'll end at 158m or 159m and the latter is looking more likely than before though that's still up in the air. More importantly this doesn't change my expectation that 160m has no real chance of happening now unless the rest of the fiscal year is also surprisingly high and there's good reason to suspect the next quarter will be lower. Assuming it's at about 158m by the end of March next year it'll need to still ship another couple million and the 3DS shipped less than 1 million after March 2019 so it'll need to suddenly outperform that by literally over double. |
Yeah I agree. This last quarter was surprisingly good, but there were concrete one-off reasons for that. Next quarter is gonna be significantly lower. Then losing Europe next year.
158 will for sure happen sometime next year, I would guess maybe it'll have just barely hit that for next June's quarterly numbers. 159 should happen sometime in second half of 2028. But by that point we're in late 2028, more than 3 years since being replaced, and it'll only be selling a few thousand a week at best, heck they will maybe have already discontinued production by then. By the time it hits 159m every extra 100k will take multiple months to get. At this point I do think it'll hit 159m but I don't see it hitting 159.5m and yeah no real chance of 160m.
