Study shows blu ray discs last only about 10 to 20 years.

[xl-klaudkil]

Wman1996 said:

Zippy6 said:

Early Physical games will one day start failing enmass. Probably early optical games first.

I just picked up GT1 for PS1 and that's working just fine. I have PC games from the 90s also. By the 2040s though we might start having a problem.

PlayStation needs a disc to digital program (like the rumored one Xbox is coming out with) for emulated PS1/PS2/PSP/PS3 games to get added to your account from physical copies. 
Obviously, I know it would not support games that don't have emulated versions available on PS4 and PS5. 

Pretty sure a lot of PS1 games will indeed stop working by the 2040s like you said. CDs of any type are expected to have a very good chance of failure/rot after 50 years. 

Time will tell, but pretty sure cds will last my whole lifetime, but we shall see.

PlayStation game discs can last anywhere from 10 years to over 100 years, depending heavily on the console generation, material quality, and how they are stored. Original PlayStation (PS1) standard CDs often have a longer potential lifespan than newer formats, while modern Blu-ray discs (PS4 and PS5) face a shorter estimated window of 10 to 20 years due to thinner data layers and environmental vulnerability.

Lifespan by Format

• PS1 Discs (CD-ROM): Projected up to 30 to 100 years if kept clean, as pressed standard CDs resist chemical breakdown well.

• PS2, PS3, PS4 & PS5 Discs (DVD and Blu-ray): Projected around 10 to 20 years on average according to recent conservation studies, because dense data layers and thin coatings degrade faster when exposed to heat and minor wear.

Risks and Damage Factors

• Disc Rot: The reflective foil or adhesive layers separate or oxidize over time, making the data unreadable.

• Scratches and Cracks: High-density formats like Blu-ray require precise laser reads; small surface scratches can ruin the whole disc.

• Environmental Exposure: Heat, high humidity, and direct sunlight speed up plastic decay and layer separation.

What i mean to say is NOBODY knows for sure and yet so many "experts" think they do.

If a cds in 40 years looks perfectly fine,explain to me why all of a sudden it will start rotting away in the next 10 years when research "claims" discs starts to degrade from day1

Last edited by xl-klaudkil - 14 hours ago