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konnichiwa said:
konnichiwa said:

Well it is an interesting year because

-We have heard for years that Russia is getting to its limits but this year everything is crumbling, from not having enough war material to not having the capicity to produce enough, financially it is getting harder especially to motivate new recruits.

-The peace deal, Putin is hitting Ukraine hard this winter but if the Ukranians can keep it steady then Spring can motivate them while Russians losing Morale especially with the shorter nights.

Loving this:

Kyiv: Ukraine recaptured more territory than it lost to Russian forces in May for the second straight month, AFP analysis of data from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) showed.

Ukraine's army gained a net 282 square kilometres (109 square miles) over the month, according to the analysis, as Kyiv hails its improving fortunes on the sprawling battlefield across the south and east of the country.

The pace of Russia's advance has been slowing since late 2025, hobbled by the increasing effectiveness of Ukraine's frontline and mid-range drone strikes, the ISW said.

Moscow had lost control of around 120 square kilometres (46 square miles) in April, the first month in which its forces gave up more ground than they captured for two and a half years.

Yeah, the tide is definitely turning. We'll see if it lasts, but right now it seems like it should. I'm thinking only some terrible elections could turn the tide back in Russia's favour, but at this rate, Russia is going to implode on itself, so even weakened support for Ukraine might be able to suffice. China backing Russia more strongly could also turn the tide, but last I heard, that didn't exactly sound likely...