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curl-6 on 24 May 2026
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Norion said:
curl-6 said:

I'm still of the view it is overhyped. 

A computer solving a maths problem isn't revolutionary; computers have been doing this since the 1950s.

According to AI companies we were supposed to have sentient superintelligence by now, yet not only has this failed to materialize, but so many of AI's applications are still riddled with problems and/or actively make things worse than they were before.

AI companies continue to hemorrhage billions, drive up the price of hardware and services, waste colossal amounts of resources, and flood the internet with garbage, while the technology itself constantly gets basic things wrong and is fundamentally unreliable.

Computers in the 1950's were not doing something as advanced as disproving something mathematicians thought was the case for close to a century. Thinking it's overhyped is fine but I do highly suggest looking up what mathematicians are saying on it if you haven't yet. There is variance in opinion with some thinking it's a bigger or smaller deal than others but it being significant has broad agreement with some worried that their degree will be mostly worthless in a few years due to AI completely taking over the field.

What AI companies said we'd have ASI by 2026? It's still flawed but top end models and in particular more powerful internal models like this OpenAI one are reliable enough now to be a big deal and do major things. Another big thing is in the Ukraine war drones are beginning to have autonomous capabilities impacting the war. More than anything a country fighting for its continued existence trusting the technology and benefitting from it proves just how big of a deal this stuff has already become I'd say.

Computers in the 50s were vastly less powerful and solving simpler problems, yeah, but that's the progression of tech, more powerful over time.

Musk has claimed Singularity will happen this year, he's famously full of shit, but still. Anthropic's Dario Amodei also said a while back AGI could happen in 2026.

Autonomous weapons aren't strictly a new thing either, drones have been fighting in wars for years now. A country fighting for survival's obviously going to take more risks with this stuff, that's doesn't mean it's inherently a good idea or a sustainable path forwards.