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...A series of well-timed market bets on falling oil prices totalling as much as $7 billion during March and April spread across multiple exchanges and types of fuel and derivatives just before major Iranian policy announcements by U.S. President ​Donald Trump, according to traders, market experts and Reuters analysis of exchange data....

...Traders first spotted unusual trades on March 23. The trades were executed minutes before Trump announced a delay to threatened attacks on Iranian power ⁠infrastructure, triggering an oil price fall.

The same pattern repeated on April 7, before Trump announced aceasefire with Iran that triggered a fall of as much as 15% in benchmark ICE Brent futures. It happened again on April 17, when Iranian officials ​and Trump spoke about reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and then again on April 21, when Trump extended the ceasefire...

https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/oil-price-bets-ahead-iran-war-news-totalled-7-billion-reporting-shows-2026-05-07/

What a surprise, every time Trump announces something which will dramatically change the price of something on the market, some people know about it and place their bets.