I voted SNES, but it reminds me both of the SNES and 3DS. However, it's clearly selling well so far, so I have to say more SNES than 3DS.
The Switch was more like both the NES and DS in that it was the beginning of a brand new paradigm. The NES, especially, started out with Nintendo first party games responsible for the success of the whole system (especially if you look at what was happening in Japan from '83 - '85). Eventually Nintendo built up enough sales momentum and positive good will for the NES/Famicom that third party companies hopped aboard, and by the end of it's life the NES had a really great library of both first and third party games. That is very similar to how the Switch went.
Meanwhile the SNES was selling hot right out of the gate, and third party companies were on board right from the get go. The NES had generated so much good will, that everyone (both customers and third party companies) was on board at launch for the SNES. I see this as a similar situation to the Switch and Switch 2. And the SNES still had decent sales during the back half of its life, but it wasn't as nearly as good as the first half. I am still expecting this for the Switch 2, because of game key cards. I'm expecting third party support for the Switch 2 to cool off at some point, since people aren't buying third party, game key card games as much as expected. So, I think Switch 2 hardware will still have some solid sales during it's second half, but not as good as it's first half.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox







