curl-6 said:
Almost nothing in life is 100% reliable 100% of the time. Seatbelts aren't 100% guaranteed to save your life, but I still wear one cos most of the time it will protect me. Tomorrow's weather report isn't 100% relaible, it's right often enough that I'll check it when deciding if should bring an umbrella to work. Nate's been right about enough things that I'll pay attention to what he has to say. |
There is a difference between your life... And the probability of a rumor being accurate.
When we start providing all rumors reverence and support based on a "possibility" then we are throwing facts, evidence and truth out the window in favor of a "maybe".
Now seat-belts *will* improve your chances of survival. That's fact. Based on evidence. (And real world anecdotal experience, having responded to hundreds of accidents over the past few decades.)
There is no evidence that these rumors hold any legitimacy, nor can we garner any such evidence until a later time... When we have moved on from these rumors and people start clinging to the next feel-good rumor out of convenience and click-bait cool-factor.
| curl-6 said: His record's not perfect, but given the number of Directs and reveals he's correctly called in advance, find it implausible that he's operating on speculation alone. The ones who do that are wrong like 90% of the time. |
You are missing the point.
If you believe something without evidence, then you open yourself up to being wrong.
Nate has propagated rumors in the past... And was wrong.
Nate has propagated rumors in the past... And was right.
The extent of his accuracy isn't the issue, it's that we don't know if the current rumors are fact or fiction.
And even if these rumors are true? We don't know if the next lot of rumors will also be fact or faction.
He has a track record of being incorrect... Thus it throws all his claims into question going forth.
| Soundwave said: Why should I waste my time, it was out there and I stand by that. A lot of people were surprised the system was called Switch 2, a lot of people were surprised Mario Kart (rather than a platforfmer Mario) was the launch title, the price is higher than many people expected, the hardware performance is better than many people expected etc. etc. etc. There's a million fucking things people were surprised, game key cards, $70-$80 games, etc. etc. I'm not just imagining all the stupid outrage from Youtube click baiters about the system (and despite that it's selling at a record pace, which means all this internet bullshit chatter means fuck all anyway) whining non-stop that the Wii-DS era Nintendo is dead and gone (good). In fact most people's predictions on the Switch 2 were by and large wrong rather than being right when it comes down to the details. Most people had no idea what they were talking about and got most things incorrect. Nintendo does. not. care. about. 5. years. ago. let alone 10 years ago, let alone 20 years ago. They will do whatever they feel is best for them in the present moment even if it directly contradicts whatever they were doing even a few years ago and that goes 10x more when you have a completely new president and many new board of directors appointments. All bets are off. |
Actually... My predictions on what the Switch 2's hardware ended up being... Was bang on.
And I made those predictions at the start of the Switch 1 console cycle.
I predicted it would use Tegra Orin. - And I was lambasted for that prediction as it was not a "mobile chip".
I also predicted the Xbox Series/Playstation 5 would have 16GB of Ram due to costs, despite people screeching for 128GB of Ram based on historical memory increases gen-on-gen.
I made those predictions based on an educational guesses... I speculated. And I was 100% right many many many years later.
I think you were one of those individuals who argued against that Switch 2 prediction at the time if memory serves.
But... I could have also been wrong. Flip of a coin.
I think people are under the false illusion that Nintendo isn't predictable as a company, they most certainly are predictable... Companies will always try to minimize risk in order to maximize their return on investment... And that means we can predict things. - And when a company starts to struggle four things happen:
1) They innovate and take back marketshare. (Wii and Switch after all their other consoles floundered)
2) They back out of the industry. (Sega)
3) They diversify to gain revenue from other segments. (Xbox)
4) They shut down/bankrupt/sell out.
Nintendo took option 1.
| curl-6 said: Took me 90 hours to wrap up my time with BOTW, about 75 for TOTK. |
I played Breath of the Wild on WiiU, but I did it in half that time... Zelda can be one of those games that you rush through in record time... Or take your time to explore and see everything which blows out gameplay time.
Tears of the Kingdom just couldn't grab me sadly, so I never got far into it.
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