How much will the PS5 sell in 2026?

[firebush03]

firebush03 said:

With the state of tech and the economy, this is a very difficult question to answer. (Also, whether GTAVI actually releases this year.)

Up until the inevitable RAM price hikes start hitting PS5, I suspect Sony will continue to aggressively discount hardware so as to get consumers into as many consumers hands (once the price goes up, a chunk of consumers suddenly becomes outpriced; this is not good not only because less hardware revenue, but also less people entering the PlayStation ecosystem, less software sales through the PS Store, etc.). So, depending on when this will happen, then sales might be a bit inflated for the early part of this year. Overall figures could be as strong as 18mil (strong H1, solid H2 carried by GTAVI, but holiday bump is muffled by the discounts from early in the year), or as weak as 13mil if price hikes hit very soon.

Without GTAVI, I'd guesstimate around 13–15.5mil. With GTAVI, then 14–18mil.

GTAVI + price hike = 15mil. That’s my prediction.