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It's just hard to say how the market will react to the price increase vs the GTA6 enthusiasm.

Every time I thought PS5 sales were going to suffer due to a price hike, I was I proven pessimistic and the thing would continue to sell well. But probably not this time, gaming is becoming too expensive. The last Nov/Dec US numbers were crap despite the good deals, so even if GTA6 cancels out the price increase, it shouldn't be anywhere near enough to offset the potentially huge May-October decline.