haxxiy said:
It's not their navy physically blocking anything, it's the threat from drones/missiles from Iran. That being said, as incompetent as Trump is, I also have doubts about the ability of Iran to conduct a long war of attrition. 70% of their imports come from the Hormuz Strait, most of which is food. Not to mention it's also contingent on the US playing "nice" instead of crazy in the meantime (so no strikes on Kharg Island, the overworked Iranian power plants, etc.). |
Yeah, food and water are naturally scarce in Iran. So I can't imagine them being able to sustain this type of retaliaton for an extended period of time. That said, I'm sure they are well prepared for this situation. They weren't really surprised this. With the constant sable rattling and the strike from last year, Iran was clearly planning for this outcome. So they'd likely are going to be able to hold out longer than if this attack came as a surprise.
All that said, I don't know what the potentional "off ramp" would be. As you've stated previously, the UN is utterly inept. Any sort of deal would need some sort of international backing and guarantees. As much as it pains me to say this, the US can't be trusted to negotiate with Iran. The last two times we've struck Iran, it was in the midst of negotations. Iran won't trust the US and/or Israel to uphold any deal reached and based on prior experience they shouldn't. With the UN being a paper tiger, how is there going to be a resolution? It were any other US President, this isn't a party thing it's a Trump thing, I'd say a chance for deal would be possible. However, Trump is an unstable narcissist.
Last edited by Darc Requiem - 8 hours ago
