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IcaroRibeiro said:
Wman1996 said:

Is 3D Mario quite probable now? Pokemon Winds and Waves is a 2027 release. Nintendo needs something for Holiday 2026. Smash seems off the table still unless Sakurai took a backseat to it and advised rather than directed. Could Nintendo pick a more casual holiday title like Switch Sports, Ring Fit Adventure, or even the return of Nintendogs?

I think 3D Mario from Odyssey team is not happening because its team has been developing DK Bananza

If I have to bet, a sucessor to Mario 3D World or Mario Maker 3 are much more likely 

(i) There are interviews dating back as far back as 2021 suggesting that pre-development for the next 3D Mario may have already been in progress. [Source.] And around the same time, it had been rumored that Nintendo divided their EDP 8 team into two studios: One for DK, one for 3D Mario. [Source.] Indeed, if you look at the headcount involved in DKBananza (via the ending credits), you’ll find that it is significantly less than that of SMOdyssey.

(ii) Mario Maker 1+2 was developed under the same studio responsible for Mario Bros Wonder. This is also the same studio responsible for NSMBDS, NSMBWii, NSMBWiiU, and NSMBUDeluxe. Seeing how successful Mario Wonder has proven 2D Mario to be, and how underwhelmingly Mario Maker 2 performed by comparison, it is hard to say whether Nintendo would be fully interested in devoting 2D Mario Team resources to a Mario Maker 3 IMO. In any case: Could three years be enough time? Well… maybe. If Nintendo had divided 2D Mario team in a similar manner to EDP 8, then I could see it… but the 2D Mario Team had already been divided: One for Pikmin, one for Mario Wonder. So, unless we’re 5-7y away from the next mainline Pikmin game (which I can say quite assuredly we are not, seeing how hard Nintendo has been pushing Pikmin as a brand) or the next 2D Mario, I don’t believe another Mario Maker is currently in development. However, you never know with Nintendo. Anything is possible.

Last edited by firebush03 - 9 hours ago