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CosmicSex said:
Kyuu said:

Hard to say with everything that's been going on. But I predict (sell through):

2026: 16.5 million
2027: 14 million
2028: 8 million
2029: 3 million
2030+: 1 million

Total: 132 million.

But it really depends on prices, production, and when PS6 is launching. COVID, wars, tariffs, NAND and RAM crisis... this generation can't catch a break and it makes you wonder what's next...

For sure on the dependencies but I feel that 2026 will be 20 million.  And then 2027 will be a larger decline.  Like 12.5 million.

2026 - 20.0 m

2027 - 12.5 m

2028 - 6.5 m

2029 - 3.5 m

2030 - 1.5 m

Total - 135 million which exceeds my prediction by at least 5 million units... nut im okay with that until we get their next predictions.   That will tell us a lot 

The GTA6 effect is difficult to gauge because nothing like it ever released, let alone as a (effectively) Playstation timed exclusive as far as system selling goes. But I don't think Sony is preparing enough units for the holiday season to make up for the January - October decline. As for 2027, if prices somehow don't change, good chance sales would go up YoY, but I expect a price hike in some form and the PC version of GTA6 to release at some point. I actually still wouldn't rule out a simultaneous GTA6 2026 release on all three platforms.