sc94597 said:
Glad to hear. Was getting a bit worried given nothing in the investor report, even with the reporting caveats. Hopefully it sells ~ 2 million (or more) lifetime. If we assumed this game cost something like $100 million to publish (say $12.5 million on average for each year of development) that probably is what they'd need to break even. Say Nintendo makes about $51 per copy, after all retail and merchandising expenses, and with price drops. 1.5 million copies sold would be about $76.5 million in revenue. 2 million would be about $102 million in revenue. Also if we consider that Prime Remastered somewhat subsidized the development of Prime 4, it isn't as bad as it seems. If Nintendo made $32 per copy sold that would be about $43 million in revenue from Prime Remastered, which obviously didn't cost that much to make. A lot of the technical work on Prime Remastered is shared with/reused in Prime 4. Hopefully 2 million copies is hit, and I think if that happens we'll get a Prime 5. |
It's definitely not going to break even at just 2m copies sold. The same person who says they heard it has 1.5m sales also said it needs to sell 4.5-5m to break even on it's $100m budget.
Once you take into account manufacturing, transport and crucially the retailers cut Nintendo will make far less than $51 profit from each physical copy sold.
It's also already receiving big discounts, Amazon UK is currently selling it for only £31.
The industry wouldn't be in anywhere near as much trouble if 2m sales would cover a $100m budget.
Metroid Prime 4 is #2 in Amazon Australia Best Sellers
— Reece “Kiwi Talkz” Reilly (@kiwitalkz) September 17, 2025
#90 in Japan
#8 in Canada
#8 in America
#31 in France
#22 in Italy
#14 in Spain
UK, Germany, Mexico its not even on the charts
New Zealand doesnt have Amazon so I have no idea how its doing here.
Prime 1 cost about… pic.twitter.com/n0N86OVu39







