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Farsala said:
shavenferret said:

The orcs lost about 900 troops daily at this time last year but lately the average is about 1200 a day. This is bc of several reasons, lack of tanks and armor on russia's side, Ukrainian artillery, and drones. The new land drone are great as well because they are harder to spot than a tall human walking. Russia will have to make a decision to either become eradicated, pull out, or mobilize troops in a draft which they are reluctant to do.

Zelensky wants to have 50,000 casualties a month and this would mean that they would have to kill or severely injure 1666 orcs a day. I think that we can edge this number up but when it gets that high Putin will have to sue for peace

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/s/2dWfpgZixi

Russia actually still has a ton more armor. But they make more progress without those big targets. Russia took Pokrovsk and some smaller cities on the frontline by funneling troops in at night and when enough survived, they could make large advances. Problem for Russia now is the frontline has less cities and more plains, much easier for the drones to target small crawling troops. This is why Zelensky aims for an increase of casualties, because it will be very likely if Russia continues with the same tactics.

A lot of tanks left you say? Covert Cabal has just made a video about it:

https://youtu.be/wCeAW_KWcWQ?si=qVhTrlP5j3BORVt0

Basically all that's left in any numbers are T-62 and T-72A (aka Ural. As in the OG version that came out 50 years ago and pretty much stayed that way), with what's left of the other tanks has dwindled down a lot and it gets harder and harder to replace them. The T-90 are all used up, the T-80 almost, too, and the T72B variants are also almost totally drained.

Just to illustrate, here are the numbers of tanks Russia had in storage before the war and as per the latest count:

Keep in mind that some of the pictures from the bases where they count the tanks are as old as last summer, so in reality, the actual number is somewhat lower even then what is presented here.

There's one other tank that they have in reserve, the T-64... but as long as the manufacturer is in Ukrainian hands with all the know-how how to do proper maintenance on those tanks, let alone upgrade them, they won't be used much.

Also, for offensive actions they still need to use armour, without them they would be way too vulnerable. They just don't mass them together like they did before I hence less losses per day 

Edit: some clarifications and screenshots

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - 1 hour ago