The battles for this year are as follows:
- Nintendo Switch 2 vs DS '06 (20.7M) vs NSW1 '18 (16.4M)
- Nintendo Switch 1 vs 3DS '19 (1.5М) vs DS '12 (3.2M)
- PlayStation 5 vs Wii '07 (16.5M) vs PS4 '19 (14M)
- XBOX Series vs PSV '15 (1.8M) vs Wii U '16 (1.2M)
Maybe i'm being optimistic but if I were to guesstimate for the 3 newer consoles I would put them all near the top end of those ranges.
- PS5 does seem to be faltering in Americas & Japan but it's still holding well here in Europe (& PS is still primary choice in a lot of the "Rest of World" countries) so I don't think it will drop too much unless GTAVI gets delayed again.
- XB seems to be dieing but i'd be surprised if it can't at least get 1.5M
- NS2 bit more of an unknown as to whether it can soar high, as while it is technically breaking records for the "fastest to" it's mostly due to the launch month... that said I think 16M is a given so again would be surprised if it's not a lot closer to (or maybe even over) 20M
NS1 does seem to be holding on longer in Japan than I would have expected, but at least at the moment it's the only one of these I would predict to be closer to the lower end of it's range.
Given the state of things though, who knows, maybe all three current gen will have to increase their prices making NS1 a re-kindled budget option.
