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I really don't see the PS6 coming out later than 2028 so if there's a delay I could see it getting moved to there from 2027 if 2027 is or was the target so 2028 is looking really likely to me now. Another price increase down the line due to the RAM insanity will put a significant damper on the PS5's sales in the last stretch of its life. 2026 should be fine since I imagine they'll try to go as long as possible without raising the price again with GTA 6 on the way but heading into 2027 sales could decline a lot if it is more expensive by Spring that year than it is now.

Also GTA 6 isn't going to cause any long term boost so I dunno what could prevent the PS5 having a big decline that year assuming it is more expensive then. It'll cause a boost when it comes out despite how old the PS5 is cause the game is that big but the vast majority of people who will play it on the PS5 already have one so even that boost is probably gonna be lower than many people are expecting. RDR2 didn't cause any boost and that came out when the gen 8 consoles were 5 years old compared to at least 6 for GTA 6 and the gen 9 consoles.

Last edited by Norion - on 13 January 2026