Will PS5 beat PS2 numbers, if PS6 is delayed?

[PAOerfulone]

JRPGfan said:

PAOerfulone said:

A PS6 delay + GTA VI may give it a big enough boost for it to pass the PS4.

But PS2? With those dismal Japanese sales? No way in Hell.

You don't think all of 2026+2027 will be enough for it to pass the PS4 ?
Knowing that GTA should have a effect as well.

Lets say early jan. PS5 is slightly above 90m.
Then its ~27m off of the PS4..... It should be able to pass that in 2 years time.

Sales are already declining at a sharp rate in America and Japan - The latter of which doesn't give a damn about GTA. And these high RAM prices and tariffs don't seem to be going anywhere any time soon. Don't be surprised of Sony raises the PS5's prices AGAIN. And that's going to cause an even sharper decline because the PS5 right now is already above the average consumer's price range.

The people who usually buy consoles in Years 5-6-7 and onwards are either dedicated fans buying a mid-gen refresh or hardware upgrade like the PS5 Pro, or the late adopters waiting for the the base model to come down in price to the point where they can afford it. The latter has not happened and has even gotten MORE expensive, while the former is too expensive even for some of the dedicated fans. That's why it's starting to fall behind even the PS4 Pro sales, launches aligned.

As it is now, the PS5 is tracking roughly 2m units behind the PS4 and the current landscape and outlook of the market does not work in the PS5's favor. 
As far as moving the needle for hardware sales, GTA VI isn't just the biggest thing the PS5 has to look forward to, it's the ONLY thing the PS5 has to look forward to!
But the thing people seem to forget or gloss over with GTA VI is - It's multiplatform. It'll also release on Xbox Series X/S, and a PC version is all but guaranteed at this point. And when that drops, that's going to cut into long-term hardware sales in addition to the Xbox Series X/S version being a thing. 

Combine that with Sony putting more of their own 1st party titles on PC and other platforms (MLB The Show being on Xbox and Nintendo now), and there's less and less reason to buy a PS5 (Digital, Disc, and Pro) in 2026-27 at $500, $550, and $750 than there was to buy a PS4 (Slim and Pro) in 2019-2020 at $300 and $400.

Last edited by PAOerfulone - on 13 January 2026