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I guess we are still waiting tos ee what happens in December but I assume they may acutally be neck and neck. When we look at units sold it shows the PS5 at 14.1 and SW2 at 12.5. That means that in order for Switch to match PS5, its going to have to sell an extra 1.6 million on top of whatever Sony sells. Thats not gonna happen. Sony will win the most sold but that doesn't really answer our question. In therory, Nintendo could have shipped more and have a huge amount of stock on the shelves. If Sony December than most likely, the PS5 will have shipped more. This would need to be the case in order for Sony to maintain stock on shelves while selling millions more than switch. The math looks something like this:

Nintendo sell 15.0 million for 2025. Ships 17 million
Sony sells 17 million for 2025. Ships 19 million

This, to me, seems to be the current direction we are headed.