Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 36 million?

[Panicradio]

X|S, outside of the US, is barely a thing. I personally don't think that we're looking at a 50:50 split anymore, not even close.

I don't see X|S sitting above +30m, either, and am very much convinced by KeplerL2's claim that X|S shipments are "even worse than I thought".

When I had prepared GPT with various prompts to, at first, construct the framework of how X|S shipment data could be calculated, it was even GPT itself that, calculated with revenue data and price hikes, that found X|S to be more likely sitting around 29 million units shipped in the 'optimistic scenario'.

I know that AI advice has to be taken cautiosly. But I took every effort I could to prepare GPT to run its the final equation/estimation.

X|S, outside of the US, in my mind, just can't be sitting at 17m units sold-through. Europe basically rejected X|S for 3 years straight now, and wether in Oceania nor Asia it's a thing.

X|S, throughout 2025, is barely even selling 2.5m units in total.

I don't think it's plausible that it has sold-through (!) ~15m units since June '23, when Microsoft showed "21+ million units shipped" at a presentation in Brazil, when ONE of that year is 2025 - which won't even reach 2.5m units sold-through, leaving 12.5m units sold-through in 1 ½ years (July '23 until December '24).