The Switch 2 will at worse be a big success (100 million~ unit sales). But it does face some serious challenges. Nintendo's low profit margin forecast hints at hardware being sold at no profit. And all of these economic problems including the recent RAM disaster hint at a possible price increase. Trump's tariffs caught Nintendo offguard, and they didn't adjust the price up despite expressing concern. They did some workarounds to diminish the problem, but it's hard to say if they're selling at a profit and what all of that will mean to future prices and profitability.
Sephiran makes some good points (not the Europe one!), but he often exaggerates the outcome. Pretty sure he also did his fair share of "concern trolling" against PS5. He sees early signs, overreacts, and draws conclusions sooner than he should. It's just how some people roll.
Prices may be a real pain in the butt for Nintendo this time. They'll probably struggle to make high profits from hardware and cartridges (compared to Switch 1). And the low digital ratios don't help. I hope this won't be mistaken by some as a Switch 2 doom post. I still expect it to be a huge success and sell around 130 million if not much more, but Switch 1 had a lot of things going for it: High hardware profitability, a cheap $200 varient, cheaper cartridges, 8 years+ lifecycle, COVID boost, etc.
