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I think the main problem for Switch 2 is that next year it will likely see a price increase due to tariffs as well as RAM prices increasing due to AI, its already a hard sell for the general public at the current price so the price increase for Switch 2 next year will for a long time heavily impact its sales potential.

I think the Switch 2 will likely become a new version of 3DS, mega popular in Japan but set for steep decline in Europe and the US.