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Wman1996 said:

The only way I can see it not getting to 40 million is a combination of
1. Xbox 5 releasing November 2026 (I see this happening)
2. Microsoft reducing sales on hardware.
3. A lot more first-party games coming to PlayStation.

Indeed what a difference 19 months makes.

Point 2 was correct.

I guess there is still a chance of a new XBox end next year, yet it would be DOA in the current market :/ Not that it will matter one bit for current gen XBox sales. Current gen XBox has been leaving stores already.

With a 33.88m estimate, no chance anymore it will make it to 36 million.