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Didn't post here before, so it's a bit late now to make a prediction, but think I would have said MP4 before Kirby came out and still would say it now. Kirby has done very bad in the UK at least, most likely most of Europe, and I've expected Prime 4 to be able to hit 5m sales LT. The low 80's meta doesn't really change that for me.

Even if we only count the Switch 2 version of MP4 I'd still expect it to beat Kirby. Kirby looks like a fun time to me, but I don't think $70 was the right price point for it. I'll get it when/if it's cheaper.