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badskywalker said:

I feel like it'll be 2.3 million, a slight drop ~10%. I feel like there will start to be a steeper drop starting next year, but it'll ride this holiday pretty well.

I think the decline will be dependant on what is shown for GTA 6, as in when it is shown, and whether or not Sony will adjust the price.  If they don't lower the price again until later next year, we should expect to see declines through the first half of 2026.