The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[loy310]

TheRealSamusAran said:

loy310 said:

Nintendo Switch won’t reach PS2 without a miracle and sales behavior we have never seen before, it’s cope at this point.

Will be at 156.1m total by end of FY25;

Nintendo ships 2m FY26 for a total of 158.1m.

Nintendo ships 1m FY27 for a total of 159.1m.

Nintendo ships 0.5m FY28 for a total of 159.6m.

Nintendo ships 0.250m FY29 for a total of 159.850m.

Nintendo ships 0.125m FY30 for a total of 159.975m.

Thats all the way up to 2030 and assuming ONLY a 50% drop year on year. In reality we will have PS6, and it’s potable version on the market, a new XB and a Steam console by 2030 or before 2030. By 2030 we will be 2.5 years into next generation with 4.5 years to go until the PS7(yea that’s right).

There is no way people still believe in NS bypassing PS2.

Wanna see sales behavior we have never seen before? 

angrypoolman said:

TheRealSamusAran said:

Wanna see sales behavior we have never seen before? 

Maybe the switch can do that and 5 million units can be magically added to the total. Anything can happen.

This PS2 situation is all you guys have to fuel your desire to have the switch outsell it.
But here we go, break it down for me how the NS crosses 160 million in the next 4 years, break it down the way I did my prediction.

Last edited by loy310 - on 17 November 2025