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Kyuu said:

With GTA6 releasing early in the next fiscal year (assuming no delays), chances are PS5 will perform poorly this year (possible 16 million or lower) and go up significantly next year. A whole year of GTA6 and a potential pricedrop (ignoring that every time I expect a drop, we get a hike instead lol) should make 2026 a really big year for Playstation.

I don't know what Nintendo is thinking and whether their forecast is based on a pessimistic perception of demand or related to production limits. I'm sure they'll sell as many consoles as they can produce if the price doesn't change much.

GTA got delayed again (but this time I'll assume more  delays await lol), and no price drops in sight.

PS5 seems to be doing better than I expected, but I don't think it's winning this one with Nintendo's revised forecast in mind, which may be another conservative demand forecast and not an issue of production.