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I agree.

Since newest data of Switch 2 puts shipped vs. sold-through at roughly 1m units only, iirc.

Which would be insanely pinpoint in the release phase AND before Black Friday season.

It's all estimates, so no big disagreement on my behalf.

But I would assume Sony is closer to pinpoint PS5 shipments more accurately in its fifth year than Nintendo in Switch 2's first 6 months.

That's why I'd agree PS5 shipments wouldn't exceed even 2m units in gap.

The only unknown though: Asia. 

It's a tough task to figure out I suppose.