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Yes, slowly digital distribution will continue gaining momentum.

However, I don't think it will happen anytime soon.

For microtransactions, it is already here. That is, I would gladly pay $5 to $10 for new maps of COD4 or $5 to $10 for a XBLive Board Game.

However, for a $60 game, it is somehow strangely more satisfying buying something tangible than downloading it.