firebush03 on 04 November 2025
• 2-3mil for the remainder of CY’25 gets system up to 156-157mil.
• 500-700k average during non-holiday quarters of 2026 brings system up to 157.5-159.1mil before the holidays.
• 0.75-2mil for remainder of CY’26 gets system up to 158.25-161.1mil.
• 200-400k average during non-holiday quarters of 2027 brings system up to 158.85-162.3mil.
• 0.25-1mil for remainder of CY’27 gets system up to 159.10-163.3mil.
• Remainder of LTD will be 0.25mil-1mil, landing the system comfortably at…
Final prediction (95% CI): 159.35-164.3mil.
(And FWIW if you wanna apply some statistical theory, then this CI says that there is a 92.6% chance of Switch hitting 160mil.)
