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So a bit over 10% down globally FW on Arceus. Not great, but not terrible either. I don't think this one will have great legs in future years, it just seems like it's going to be one of the more forgettable pokemon titles.

However I think holiday sales will be very strong. After all, there's not a big backlog of evergreen Switch 2 titles to pick up this holiday. Mario Kart, DK and Pokemon are going to be the games people get for their new console this holiday. So while I don't think legs will be great, holiday should be big.

Still not as confidant in it's sale as I was when I first responded to this thread but it still has a decent shot if the holiday sales can be as strong as I expect.