Predict the lifetimes sales of Pokémon Legends Z-A

[Zippy6]

Otter said:

Zippy6 said:

It sold 89k first week in Spain. Legends Arceus did 140k on a much smaller install base. I wouldn't say it's very successful at all for the series. A similar big decline on Arceus that it saw in the UK. Japan will be interesting to see if that follows the same trend or if it can get closer/exceed Arceus launch.

Honestly this is not what I was expecting from Legends Z-A at all so far. Maybe it can turn things around in the holiday but my prediction this would outsell Arceus isn't looking too good right now.

I think its kind of impossible for a full fledged pokemon game to not have a successful launch but maybe it didn't meet expectations.  I would add though that I don't think Nintendo expectations are as high some people think. Not all games/sequels/spinoffs are equal and this looks way less ambitious and probably cost less to develop than archeus. 

Still hope it nudges them in acknolwledging preferences in regards to environment, presentation quality etc

It will be extremely profitable no matter what, we know the budgets of the games from the leak and they are incredibly low. Relative to other games in the series it could certainly end up a sale disappointment regardless of if it makes a gazillion in profit or not though. It's all relative. For a pokemon game it may be "unsuccessful" even if for pretty much any other game series it would be a great success. Just as GTA VI selling 20m lifetime would be a disaster, which is an unthinkable thing to say for any other game.

Last edited by Zippy6 - on 22 October 2025