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80-120m.

No way it doesn't hit 80, in fact extremely unlikely it doesn't hit 100.

Only thing holding it back is going to be the high prices of everything in Switch 2's ecosystem. So there might be 100m people willing to pay a significant premium above normal to get the system...but at some point the market gets priced out because plenty of people want affordable gaming. Only question is how many millions does that happen at. I'd say 100-120m. Maybe it trickles past 120m late in life, depending on how long the gen lasts. Unlike the Switch, which hit its stride later in its life, I expect Switch 2 to be a more typical Nintendo sales graph, where it peaks around year 3 as all the hyped people willing to pay the high prices get it and then sales gradually fade as Nintendo is priced out of their usual affordable market.