The trend continues. The LPC continue to increase their support while the Cons continue to erode:
Now cons score in the 30-35 range, and the LPC are clearing 45. This means the gap has widened to the point that the LPC is getting about 30 to 50% more support than the Cons. Interesting enough, NDP is gaining increased support at the same time.
But there's more to the story:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_46th_Canadian_federal_election#Leadership_polls
At the time of the election, Poilievre had 39.3% support for PM, and Carney 46.9%. Over the last two months, Poilievre's support has collapsed, dropping to 28.9% at the end of May, and 22.9% at the end of June. Polling also shows that support for Carney is high: 52% approval and 25% disapproval. But the previous poll forced an opinion, and while this brought the disapproval up to 33%, it also brought the approval up to 67%.
Economically:
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CADUSD/?timeframe=6M
The Canadian dollar is strengthening against the USD. Over the past 6 months the CAD has risen from 68 cents to the American dollar, all the way up to 73.5 cents. Sharply reversing the downward trend the CAD had on the USD during the Biden years. This comes after Canada picked up a lot of the US's broken deals from China, the UK, the EU, and Latin American countries.
Trump is breaking deals.
Carney is making deals.
I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.
