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The good news is that looks like last week's 84% drop from launch week was lack of supply rather than post-launch lack of demand, considering it barely dropped this week instead of say dropping under 100k.

Ashadelo said:

The real question is how many units will NS2 do this year in Japan alone?

Let's see, two more weeks and it could be at 1.5m, just one week into summer quarter. If demand stays strong despite not much in the way of software pushing sales (who knows, maybe DK will be popular in Japan), it could do another million in the remaining 12 weeks of that quarter putting it at 2.5m, though I'm guessing it'll fall a bit short of that, but be close. Then there is the holiday quarter with Pokemon and xmas boost (and who knows, maybe another big game). I'd think Pokemon launch plus it's first holiday quarter with lots of kids probably asking for it for christmas will mean at minimum 1.5m, putting it almost certainly over 4m for the year, perhaps even 4.5m.